Archive for December, 2009

Copenhagen’s Political Science

Wednesday, December 9th, 2009

Main Street Tour Faces Frosty Greeting

Friday, December 4th, 2009

Who Cleared in the Salahis?

Thursday, December 3rd, 2009

The shark-infested waters of Washington society are repleat with fish tales – who thought up which idea the President loved, who leaked what story, who coined that famous phrase. Rumors abound of devious social climbing tactics.  Switching place cards to ensure more politically advantageous seating happens, nor is party crashing (of the Hill reception 500-people-cramed-in-a-room kind) beyond the pale. But in a historic city where everything’s been done before, crashing State dinners at the White House is a new, abysmal first.

The Salahis little que sera sera social slip-in has implications far beyond their pathetic attempt at getting their 15 minutes (one can only hope they are lying stark awake in their grossly over mortgaged Front Royal mansion, praying it doesn’t get them 15 years).  Photos from the event reveal that a more criminal climber could have dusted everyone from Obama to Biden with, say, anthrax, instead of kisses.

Currently, the White House Social Office is not taking the blame – nor is it apparent they should – and the Secret Service is eating humble pie for Thanksgiving leftovers.  But here’s what I want to know:  who cleared them into the White House?  Consider:  the Salahi’s procured an Indian style sari for Mrs. Salahi, informed the camera crew of Housewives where they were going, were filmed making extensive preparations, and finally, heading off to the White House.  Surely they didn’t go to all that trouble and publicity on the mere HOPE that they would somehow evade detection by one of the world’s most elite security squads.  While the Salahis only implied they were invited to the dinner (in response to questions from WaPo and others) they clearly expected to get INSIDE the White House. There are any number of reasons for clearing someone into the building, from meetings to tours, and there’s no reason to expect that the Secret Service at the gate admitted two complete strangers, or that the Salahis materialized out of a secret passage a la Vince Flynn. My two cents? A White House staffer was in cahoots, cleared them in, and then chose to look the other way when they “ended up” in the general area of the event, at which point they were convincing enough to be admitted.

That staffer should be routed out and summarily fired. But that isn’t enough. The Salahis must be charged too, if only to keep them from using this scandal to catapult them to reality TV superstardom (and to encourage other pathetic would-be’s to stay home).  There’s a marked difference in social standing between the “daring couple who caused a social scene via ‘last-minute attending’” and the “fortune-hungry fools being prosecuted by the Secret Service.” In this real-life reality show, I hope it’s very much the latter.

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Skyla Freeman (skylafreeman.com) is a former writer for President George W. Bush.  She blogs about style and culture at Sanity Fair online (sfair.blogspot.com).
**This article was originally published at skylafreeman.com and reprinted with the author’s permission.

Alice in Hondurasland

Thursday, December 3rd, 2009

By now, much has been written by Honduran election observers about the peaceful, orderly, transparent and fair Presidential elections that took place without a hitch on November 29.  Unaccountably, many nations still question the legitimacy of the new government and remain mired in rehashing the events of June 28, when President Zelaya was removed unceremoniously from office by the military at the behest of the Honduran Supreme Court.

To their credit, the United States, Costa Rica, Peru and Colombia all have agreed to recognize the legitimacy of President-elect Porfirio Lobo’s selection.  However, some prominent members of OAS who have sympathies with the left-leaning Zelaya, including Brazil and Venezuela, remain intent on de-legitimizing the election, asserting that to recognize President-elect Lobo would—in some way that is not clear—validate the “coup” that brought President Micheletti to office.

The majority of the international community still demands that Zelaya be restored to office to serve out his term as a pre-requisite to resuming full diplomatic relations, despite the Honduran Congress’s firm and repeated refusal to comply.

For those not steeped in the politics of the region, it would be easy to conclude from the overwhelming international condemnation of Zelaya’s ouster and the sensational press photos of protesters clashing with Honduran troops that Honduras is indeed on the brink of a socialist revolution.

Before my trip to Tegucigalpa this past week as one of the over 500 international observers from 31 countries who were invited by the Honduran Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) to witness the Presidential election, I too had concerns about the legitimacy of the Micheletti government and questions about where the true the allegiances of the Honduran people lay. Based on news reports and academic briefings in the U.S., I had expected to find widespread civil unrest and a heavy-handed military presence.

Initial impressions of Tegucigalpa did little to dispel the bleak image of a divided and struggling democracy that had been painted so vividly in the international press and re-enforced by the universal condemnation of the Micheletti government by the international community, including the U.S., OAS and our European allies.  There was, by U.S. standards, a heavily armed military presence on the streets surrounding polls and key government buildings, and entering our own hotel resembled clearing airport security at Heathrow, complete with bomb dogs and baggage searches.  Spray painted graffiti messages supporting former President Zelaya (“Viva Mel!”) and condemning current President Micheletti, lined the main routes between the airport and our hotel in downtown Tegucigalpa, giving the impression that dissent, while nowhere evident on the street, was simmering somewhere just below the surface.

The next day, together with a team of National Election Observers from the Honduran civil society group Union Civica Democratica, several of us set out to the streets of Tegucigalpa to hear directly from Honduran citizens.  What emerged from our conversations over the course of the next two days was a starkly different reality than the one being peddled by the international media and OAS.

First of all, no one on the streets or at the polls on election day had any hesitance speaking openly with us about their political views, often within easy view and earshot of the military.  In my experience, in countries where the military or government is feared, speaking publicly with foreigners is considered dangerous.  The people of Tegucigalpa, from shady Central Square to El Citio, one of the poorest shanty towns surrounding the city, were enthusiastically debating politics and sharing their untrammeled views with international observers, foreign news crews and each other.  No one claimed to feel intimidated by either by the government or by Zelayists.  What ordinary Hondurans wanted was to assert their right to vote for a new president, to re-join the international community, and to prove to all doubters that Honduran respect for Constitutional democracy was strong.

Second, there was virtually no support voiced for the re-instatement of Zelaya, and even less for Chavez-style socialism.  Many people deplored the desecration of their buildings—even churches—with political graffiti by what they suspected to be foreign activists.  Even more objected to the tinkering of foreign governments in the internal exercise of Honduran democracy, whether the interference came from the Chavez-influenced OAS or the U.S. Embassy.  In my experience, the 111 to 14 vote in the Honduran Congress Wednesday rejecting international calls to re-instate Zelaya accurately reflects Honduran public sentiment and is in no way an elitist perspective as asserted by Zelaya in the wake of Congress’s rejection of his bid to return to office.

Third, Zelaya’s campaign to delegitimize the outcome of Sunday’s election by calling for a voter boycott fell firmly on its face.  Hondurans were outraged by the idea that they should disenfranchise themselves and were instead energized to turn out at a hearty 61%–fully 8% above the voter turnout that elected Zelaya to office four years earlier.

Despite scare tactics from pro-Zelaya newspapers and radio broadcasts that warned Hondurans that their lives would be in danger by venturing out to vote, venture out they did—in droves.  I personally witnessed voters arriving on crutches and in wheel chairs, young and old voters, rich and poor; everyone came out to vote.

The Honduran Supreme Court, an overwhelming majority of the Honduran Congress, and many members of President Zelaya’s own party, all support an interpretation of the Honduran Constitution that would compel the immediate removal of any president who seeks to change the core democratic provisions of their constitution—especially the provision that limits presidents to one term.  Given the regional context, where Chavez has extended his control over Venezuela by lifting presidential term limits, who can blame the Hondurans for seeing a genuine threat to democracy in Zelaya’s attempt to test the waters for a similar change?

It’s time for the international community to end its inappropriate—and ultimately unsuccessful—efforts to influence Honduran politics and instead recognize the profound strength of the Honduran people and this tiny nation’s inspirational commitment to democracy.  To have held fast to core democratic values in the face of crippling economic sanctions, diplomatic isolation and vociferous condemnation in the international press has required enormous strength of character.  In an era when many politicians spend their time worrying about how their actions will be perceived and reported by the daily press, Honduran judges and elected representatives have kept their focus on abiding by core democratic principles and are content to be judged by history.   The international press may continue to distort events in Honduras, but it is the duty of the 500 international observers who were eye-witnesses the profound celebration of democracy in Honduras on November 29 to begin to set the record straight.

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Kerry Murphy Healey, former Lieutenant Governor of Massachusetts, serves as Co-Chair of Project Independence, an initiative of the American Security Council Foundation.

**The photo for this article was taken by the author.

Zuma’s Rising Tide

Thursday, December 3rd, 2009

Soccer fans around the world are tuning in to South Africa as the country prepares to host the 2010 World Cup.

For most Americans, the World Cup isn’t much of draw, but all the media attention has put a new focus on the country’s recently-elected President. The sometimes eccentric Jacob Zuma who’s been known to dance in Zulu garb and sing “Bring me my machine gun!” at political rallies was profiled this week by Time Magazine after giving a rare interview. He also made headlines on AIDS Day for his speech that set a new direction for South Africa’s fight against the disease.

But to most people abroad, Zuma is still known for a string of shameful trials that highlighted two of the nation’s biggest scourges: corruption and crime.

In 2005 he was investigated for corruption because of an arms deal by a financial associate, and then later that year was accused of raping the daughter of a fellow ANC party member. Since his election in April 2009, elites in South Africa and many Westerners have criticized his heavy-handed policies and his less than exemplary human rights record. He has outraged activists for failing to condemn his predecessor Thabo Mbeki’s AIDS “denialism” and for reminiscing that he used to beat-up homosexuals.

His slow response to Mugabe’s land grabs and human rights abuses in Zimbabwe made whites and investors nervous when he took office. And since calling for zero-tolerance on crime in September, the media has blamed him for the spread of a ‘shoot to kill’ approach among police: heads turned in Zuma’s direction when an infant was killed this past month because police thought it was holding a gun.

But it’s this very heavy-handedness, coupled with what’s seen as a ‘practical’ approach to Western standards that leads many South Africans to support their President.

In a country with over 50 murders per day, often related to petty crime, Zuma is praised for helping to bring stability. On Mugabe, the situation is delicate: while he’s condemned by the West, the aging leader remains a hero to many Africans – there are streets named after him in capitals from Namibia to Mozambique.

Zuma has been tasked with brokering talks between Mugabe and the opposition, and has quietly gone about bringing them together. He has a reputation as a negotiator from his days bringing peace to the Kwazulu-Natal region in the mid-90’s; internally, he’s used these skills to bring his own opposition into key roles.

As one ANC party member gushed to American Maggie, “Zuma is a team player, he never uses ‘I’ only ‘We’, and he always says ‘South Africa is bigger than all of us.’” This loyalty leads many to explain away his trials as merely party politics: controversially, supporters often point to the rape victim’s known HIV-positive status as proof that the charge was a political ploy. As for the corruption case, it’s brushed off as “natural” in a culture where apparently “you can’t accuse one person without also citing the top”.

All this support shows in the polls: Zuma’s approval ratings have increased since he took office reaching around 57% at his 100-day mark. And he’s managed to improve his appeal in each ethnic group: blacks, whites, “coloureds” and Indians.

With all this, what else is on Zuma’s agenda? At last week’s ANC rally, the priorities were clear: education, fighting crime, repairing the healthcare system, HIV/AIDS, and poverty alleviation. There’s also foreign policy: Zuma continues to extend his friendship to the US, which just gave South Africa another $12million to fight AIDS, in addition to more than $1 billion in aid given under Bush. Although Thabo Mbeki criticized him for pandering to the West, and asked “why beg Obama and Gordon Brown when we have China around the corner?”, Zuma hasn’t neglected China either. He plans on a state visit to Beijing in 2010 to strengthen economic ties.

There’s a clear strategy of positioning South Africa within the rising China-India-Brazil axis. Added to all this is the pressure of prominent international posts for the country: South African Kumi Naidoo was put at the helm of Greenpeace this November, and called on Zuma to come to Copenhagen help “shame developed-country leaders into action” on global warming.

Zuma’s plate is certainly full, but “The Negotiator” seems up for the challenge.

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Christine Nikol writes from London, UK where she works as a business consultant.  She has previously written for The Heritage Foundation in Washington, D.C. and as an intern for the Paris office of Newsweek.  She has a Masters in English Literature from the University of Oxford and a B.A. in Government from Harvard College, where she was Editor in Chief of the Harvard French Review, an annual journal of transatlantic politics and culture.  She is originally from Poland and Canada and has also lived in France, Nepal, and Singapore, but America is by far her favorite.

Media Misses the Mark on Healthcare Again

Tuesday, December 1st, 2009

Young Voters, One Year Later

Tuesday, December 1st, 2009